HB Koge 0-2 Hobro IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 21 Apr 2025

HB Koge
0-2 HT 0-1
Hobro IK
📅21/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2024/2025

HB Koge vs Hobro IK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.17
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
11%
6.24
X/2
13%
5.4
X/X
14%
5.08
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
28.5
2/2
17%
3.34
2/X
9%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-2.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.6pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HB Koge v Hobro IK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HB Koge EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 43%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
1.30/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.99
+21% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +64%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 78%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
16.7 Crosses 19.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.4

HB Koge vs Hobro IK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HB Koge
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hobro IK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.54 xG 1.79
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
418 Passes 432
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.10.2024 HB Koge HB Koge 4-1 HT 3-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
02.08.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-1 HT 2-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
27.10.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-1 HT 2-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
20.08.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 0-2 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
26.05.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-2 HT 0-2 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
02.04.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 1-3 HT 0-2 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1

HB Koge 0-2 Hobro IK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HB Koge
0-2
AWAY Hobro IK
1.92 xG 1.73
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
418 Passes 352
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
35 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 10
POST-MATCH HB Koge vs Hobro IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hobro IK got the better of HB Koge 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Hobro IK found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HB Koge had 53% of the ball to Hobro IK's 47%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.92 to 1.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hobro IK led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for HB Koge and 1.67 for Hobro IK.

What was the final score of HB Koge vs Hobro IK?

HB Koge 0-2 Hobro IK in the Denmark 1st Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HB Koge vs Hobro IK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hobro IK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split HB Koge 33%, draw 29%, Hobro IK 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hobro IK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hobro IK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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