Nykobing 1-1 Frem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.1
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.49
6+ Goals
10%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 30% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nykobing EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Frem EU Bookmakers 45%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.39/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.36
-71% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
369 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nykobing
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Frem
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.10.2024 Frem Frem 1-2 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
23.08.2024 Nykobing Nykobing 0-1 HT 0-0 Frem Frem DAN2
16.08.2014 Frem Frem 2-1 HT 2-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nykobing
1-1
AWAY Frem
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nykobing vs Frem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nykobing and Frem couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Frem at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Nykobing had 47% of the ball to Frem's 53%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Frem led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nykobing and 1.33 for Frem.

What was the final score of Nykobing vs Frem?

Nykobing 1-1 Frem in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nykobing vs Frem?

Before kick-off our model rated an Frem win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nykobing 30%, draw 26%, Frem 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Frem), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Frem) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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