Naestved 1-2 Fremad Amager — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.29
6+ Goals
11%
22.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.53 — our 33% vs market 32.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naestved EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 49%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.00/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.97
-21% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
204 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naestved
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Fremad Amager
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.84 xG 0.21
52% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
348 Passes 282
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.03.2025 Naestved Naestved 1-1 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
11.10.2024 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
03.02.2024 Naestved Naestved 0-3 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager HAZ
05.03.2023 Naestved Naestved 2-3 HT 1-2 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN1
12.08.2022 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 0-0 HT 0-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
10.06.2020 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 1-0 HT 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naestved
1-2
AWAY Fremad Amager
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Naestved vs Fremad Amager
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fremad Amager squeezed past Naestved 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fremad Amager as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Naestved had 61% of the ball to Fremad Amager's 39%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fremad Amager led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Naestved and 1.50 for Fremad Amager.

What was the final score of Naestved vs Fremad Amager?

Naestved 1-2 Fremad Amager in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naestved vs Fremad Amager?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fremad Amager win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Naestved 29%, draw 30%, Fremad Amager 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fremad Amager) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fremad Amager) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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