Dragon 1-1 Municipal Limeno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.85
No
62%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-4.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
50%
-12.0pp
62%
BTTS No
50%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dragon EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.05/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.97
-4% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dragon
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Municipal Limeno
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 2-0 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
11.08.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-0 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
11.04.2024 Dragon Dragon 1-2 HT 0-2 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
08.02.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 2-1 HT 1-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
08.10.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 3-2 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
14.08.2023 Dragon Dragon 3-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
POST-MATCH Dragon vs Municipal Limeno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dragon and Municipal Limeno couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Municipal Limeno at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal Limeno led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dragon and 1.67 for Municipal Limeno.

What was the final score of Dragon vs Municipal Limeno?

Dragon 1-1 Municipal Limeno in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dragon vs Municipal Limeno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Municipal Limeno win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dragon 27%, draw 30%, Municipal Limeno 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Municipal Limeno), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal Limeno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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