Dragon 1-2 Municipal Limeno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 11 Apr 2024

Dragon
1-2 HT 0-2
Municipal Limeno
📅11/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Dragon vs Municipal Limeno Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
40%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+9.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dragon v Municipal Limeno — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dragon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.36/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.35
+8% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.3

Dragon vs Municipal Limeno Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dragon
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Municipal Limeno
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.02.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 2-1 HT 1-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
08.10.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 3-2 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
14.08.2023 Dragon Dragon 3-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
POST-MATCH Dragon vs Municipal Limeno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Limeno squeezed past Dragon 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Municipal Limeno made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Municipal Limeno led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dragon and 2.00 for Municipal Limeno.

What was the final score of Dragon vs Municipal Limeno?

Dragon 1-2 Municipal Limeno in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dragon vs Municipal Limeno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Municipal Limeno win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dragon 37%, draw 23%, Municipal Limeno 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Limeno), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Limeno) ✓ BTTS Yes
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