Jocoro 1-2 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 11 Apr 2024

📅11/04/2024 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.95
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
65%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.68
Over 2.5
52%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
3.06
No
58%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
53%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
10%
+6.2pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.3pp
65%
Away Win
71%
-5.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
28%
+13.9pp
58%
BTTS No
72%
-13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jocoro EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.31/2.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/0.80
+79% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / +44%
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
238 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jocoro
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Alianza
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
08.02.2024 Alianza Alianza 5-0 HT 2-0 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
27.11.2023 Alianza Alianza 2-2 HT 0-2 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
02.10.2023 Jocoro Jocoro 3-2 HT 1-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
30.03.2023 Alianza Alianza 5-2 HT 1-1 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
02.02.2023 Jocoro Jocoro 0-3 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
20.03.2022 Alianza Alianza 2-1 HT 1-0 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
POST-MATCH Jocoro vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza nicked a narrow win over Jocoro 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jocoro and 3.17 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Jocoro vs Alianza?

Jocoro 1-2 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jocoro vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Jocoro 16%, draw 19%, Alianza 65%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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