Santa Tecla 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 11 Apr 2024

📅11/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-7.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Tecla EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.28/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
288 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Tecla
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
06.11.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 1-1 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
11.09.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 2-1 HT 0-1 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
POST-MATCH Santa Tecla vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Tecla and Fuerte San Francisco couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santa Tecla and 1.00 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Santa Tecla vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Santa Tecla 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Tecla vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Tecla win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Santa Tecla 40%, draw 28%, Fuerte San Francisco 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santa Tecla), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Tecla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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