Adama City 0-2 Mekelakeya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+8.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
45%
Away Win
54%
-9.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.9pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adama City EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.95/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.96
+45% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -36%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
238 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adama City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mekelakeya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2024 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 2-0 Adama City Adama City ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adama City
0-2
AWAY Mekelakeya
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Adama City vs Mekelakeya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelakeya got the better of Adama City 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mekelakeya as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Adama City had 42% of the ball to Mekelakeya's 58%, shots finished 4-13.

What was the final score of Adama City vs Mekelakeya?

Adama City 0-2 Mekelakeya in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adama City vs Mekelakeya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Adama City 28%, draw 27%, Mekelakeya 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mekelakeya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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