Fasil Ketema 0-1 Dire Dawa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
17%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.8pp
35%
Draw
32%
+2.6pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.1pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 28%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.79/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.12
-23% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fasil Ketema
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2025 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 1-2 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
05.04.2024 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 1-2 HT 1-0 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fasil Ketema
0-1
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fasil Ketema vs Dire Dawa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dire Dawa Kenema edged past Fasil Ketema 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 35% / 29% — and on the day Dire Dawa Kenema made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Fasil Ketema had 45% of the ball to Dire Dawa Kenema's 55%, shots finished 10-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fasil Ketema and 1.50 for Dire Dawa Kenema.

What was the final score of Fasil Ketema vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Fasil Ketema 0-1 Dire Dawa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fasil Ketema vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fasil Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Fasil Ketema 36%, draw 35%, Dire Dawa Kenema 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fasil Ketema) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fasil Ketema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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