Dire Dawa Kenema 1-2 Fasil Ketema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.67
Draw
24%
2.66
Away
25%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.51
Over 2.5
49%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
24%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
34%
+16.7pp
24%
Draw
34%
-9.9pp
25%
Away Win
32%
-6.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-11.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+11.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.8pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 36%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.86/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.35
-25% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
228 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fasil Ketema
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2024 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 1-2 HT 1-0 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema
1-2
AWAY Fasil Ketema
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dire Dawa Kenema vs Fasil Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fasil Ketema squeezed past Dire Dawa Kenema 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Dire Dawa Kenema at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Dire Dawa Kenema had 54% of the ball to Fasil Ketema's 46%, shots finished 5-6.

What was the final score of Dire Dawa Kenema vs Fasil Ketema?

Dire Dawa Kenema 1-2 Fasil Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Fasil Ketema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dire Dawa Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dire Dawa Kenema 51%, draw 24%, Fasil Ketema 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dire Dawa Kenema) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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