Hadiya Hosaena 0-1 Ethiopian Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
26%
-1.6pp
34%
Draw
33%
+1.1pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.0pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 45%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.32/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.90/0.28
+53% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
209 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.06.2024 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 1-0 HT 0-0 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
0-1
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
37% Ball Possession 63%
2 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopian Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance nicked a narrow win over Hadiya Hosaena 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ethiopian Insurance as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hadiya Hosaena had 37% of the ball to Ethiopian Insurance's 63%, shots finished 2-4.

What was the final score of Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Hadiya Hosaena 0-1 Ethiopian Insurance in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hadiya Hosaena 24%, draw 34%, Ethiopian Insurance 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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