Odisha FC 0-3 Punjab FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super Cup, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.75
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
7%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 27% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
15%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+9.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
42%
-7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.4pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odisha FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Punjab FC EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odisha FC
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Punjab FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.79 xG 1.23
64% Ball Possession 36%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
466 Passes 218
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2025 Odisha FC Odisha FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
20.09.2024 Punjab FC Punjab FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
02.04.2024 Odisha FC Odisha FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
26.12.2023 Punjab FC Punjab FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
POST-MATCH Odisha FC vs Punjab FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Punjab FC cruised past Odisha FC 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Odisha FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Odisha FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Odisha FC and 1.00 for Punjab FC.

What was the final score of Odisha FC vs Punjab FC?

Odisha FC 0-3 Punjab FC in the India - Super Cup on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odisha FC vs Punjab FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odisha FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Odisha FC 41%, draw 23%, Punjab FC 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Odisha FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Odisha FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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