Notodden 1-1 Arendal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 21 Apr 2025

Notodden
1-1 HT 1-1
Arendal
📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - 2nd Division – 2025

Notodden vs Arendal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.99
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
15.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.61 — our 24% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Notodden v Arendal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notodden EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Arendal EU Bookmakers 42%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.32/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.51
-22% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Notodden vs Arendal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notodden
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Arendal
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.07.2024 Notodden Notodden 0-1 HT 0-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
01.06.2024 Arendal Arendal 1-2 HT 0-2 Notodden Notodden NOR3
22.10.2023 Notodden Notodden 3-0 HT 2-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
11.06.2023 Arendal Arendal 0-3 HT 0-2 Notodden Notodden NOR3
09.07.2022 Arendal Arendal 2-0 HT 1-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
14.05.2022 Notodden Notodden 2-0 HT 0-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
POST-MATCH Notodden vs Arendal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notodden and Arendal shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Notodden had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Notodden and 0.67 for Arendal.

What was the final score of Notodden vs Arendal?

Notodden 1-1 Arendal in the Norway - 2nd Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notodden vs Arendal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Notodden win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Notodden 37%, draw 29%, Arendal 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Notodden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Notodden) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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