21/04/2025
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
4-0
2nd Score
3-1
Lorenskog vs Lillehammer Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 62% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
Over 2.5
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
19%
Draw
18%
22%
Away Win
16%
38%
Under 2.5
28%
62%
Over 2.5
72%
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
50%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lorenskog v Lillehammer — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lorenskog
EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lillehammer
EU Bookmakers 19%
-9% /
-11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+27% /
+27%
2.13/1.30
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.50/1.51
-18%
/
+3%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+85%
/
+69%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
16
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
4
418 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
310 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
4.0
POST-MATCH
Lorenskog vs Lillehammer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lorenskog got the better of Lillehammer 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Lorenskog as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.
What was the final score of Lorenskog vs Lillehammer?
Lorenskog 3-1 Lillehammer in the Norway - 3rd Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lorenskog vs Lillehammer?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lorenskog win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Lorenskog 59%, draw 19%, Lillehammer 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorenskog), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Lorenskog)
✓ Over 2.5
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