Znicz Pruszkow 0-1 Nieciecza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 27% vs market 24.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Nieciecza win — 47%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
47%
Away Win
47%
-0.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Znicz Pruszkow EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 50%
+22% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
1.50/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.00
+46% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +2%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Znicz Pruszkow
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Nieciecza
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-2 HT 1-2 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
08.03.2024 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 2-0 HT 1-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
27.08.2023 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-0 HT 1-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
12.08.2014 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 2-1 HT 1-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POLK
POST-MATCH Znicz Pruszkow vs Nieciecza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nieciecza squeezed past Znicz Pruszkow 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nieciecza as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Znicz Pruszkow had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Znicz Pruszkow and 0.75 for Nieciecza.

What was the final score of Znicz Pruszkow vs Nieciecza?

Znicz Pruszkow 0-1 Nieciecza in the Poland - 1st Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Znicz Pruszkow vs Nieciecza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nieciecza win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Znicz Pruszkow 30%, draw 23%, Nieciecza 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nieciecza) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nieciecza) ✗ Over 2.5
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