Al Hilal Riyadh 2-2 Al Shabab Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒18:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.94
Over 2.5
55%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.39
No
49%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
9.24
2-3 Goals
33%
2.49
4-5 Goals
28%
2.27
6+ Goals
14%
3.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
-13.3pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.2pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
22%
+23.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
78%
-23.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.8pp
49%
BTTS No
32%
+16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.06/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.42
+19% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
420 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 81%
32.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
24.2 Crosses 12.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.25 xG 0.97
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
377 Passes 365
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
30 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
30.03.2024 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 3-4 HT 1-3 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
29.09.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
09.08.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh AŞMPL
07.04.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
10.10.2022 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
2-2
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
1.77 xG 1.34
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
365 Passes 312
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Shabab Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh and Al Shabab Riyadh couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Hilal Riyadh at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 53% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 47%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.77 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 1.50 for Al Shabab Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Al Hilal Riyadh 2-2 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 52%, draw 25%, Al Shabab Riyadh 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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