Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-2 Al Ettifaq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.61
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.59
2-3 Goals
39%
2.02
4-5 Goals
24%
2.52
6+ Goals
13%
5.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-13.6pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.5pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+7.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.8pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.82/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.65
-10% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
411 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 81%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
20.7 Crosses 12.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Ettifaq
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.74 xG 1.32
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
410 Passes 308
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
10.05.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-5 HT 0-4 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
24.11.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
16.02.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
03.09.2022 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
23.06.2022 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
3-2
AWAY Al Ettifaq
2.28 xG 0.46
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 8
391 Passes 419
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
27 Box Touches 21
4 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Ettifaq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah edged past Al Ettifaq 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had 47% of the ball to Al Ettifaq's 53%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 2.28 to 0.46 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Ittihad-Jeddah's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Ittihad-Jeddah and 1.17 for Al Ettifaq.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Ettifaq?

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-2 Al Ettifaq in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Ettifaq?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad-Jeddah 49%, draw 26%, Al Ettifaq 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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