Maccabi Bnei Raina 2-2 Bnei Sakhnin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
1.95
Over 2.5
65%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.68
No
34%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.51
2-3 Goals
28%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
43%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
13.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.45 — our 43% vs market 23.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+6.7pp
35%
Under 2.5
48%
-13.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
52%
+13.1pp
66%
BTTS Yes
56%
+10.4pp
34%
BTTS No
44%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Bnei Raina EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin EU Bookmakers 40%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.61/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.63
-33% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +65%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
369 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.2
14.8 Crosses 25.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Bnei Raina
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.63 xG 0.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
341 Passes 306
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2024 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin 0-2 HT 0-0 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina İSR
16.03.2024 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin 0-0 HT 0-0 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina İSR
30.12.2023 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina 0-1 HT 0-0 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin İSR
09.08.2023 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina 1-2 HT 0-1 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin İSRTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Bnei Raina
2-2
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin
2.31 xG 1.43
50% Ball Possession 50%
23 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
300 Passes 303
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 19
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Bnei Sakhnin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Bnei Raina and Bnei Sakhnin couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bnei Sakhnin at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Maccabi Bnei Raina had 50% of the ball to Bnei Sakhnin's 50%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 2.31 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bnei Sakhnin led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Maccabi Bnei Raina and 0.75 for Bnei Sakhnin.

What was the final score of Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Bnei Sakhnin?

Maccabi Bnei Raina 2-2 Bnei Sakhnin in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Bnei Sakhnin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bnei Sakhnin win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Bnei Raina 35%, draw 22%, Bnei Sakhnin 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bnei Sakhnin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bnei Sakhnin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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