Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-4 Maccabi Haifa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.56
2-3 Goals
45%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.42
6+ Goals
9%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
23%
+7.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-9.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Haifa EU Bookmakers 57%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.27/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.06
-9% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -15%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
13.2 Crosses 17.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Maccabi Haifa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.72 xG 1.78
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
344 Passes 398
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa 4-1 HT 2-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva İSR
31.01.2024 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 HT 0-0 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa İSR
03.12.2023 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa 1-0 HT 0-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva
1-4
AWAY Maccabi Haifa
2.64 xG 3.53
45% Ball Possession 55%
23 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
293 Passes 396
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 33
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Haifa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Haifa ran out comfortable winners over Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Maccabi Haifa as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Hapoel Beer Sheva had 45% of the ball to Maccabi Haifa's 55%, shots finished 23-18, expected goals 2.64 to 3.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Maccabi Haifa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 2.00 for Maccabi Haifa.

What was the final score of Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Haifa?

Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-4 Maccabi Haifa in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Haifa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maccabi Haifa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Beer Sheva 31%, draw 26%, Maccabi Haifa 43%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maccabi Haifa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maccabi Haifa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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