Maccabi Haifa 4-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.94
2-3 Goals
34%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
4.04
6+ Goals
8%
18.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Haifa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Beer Sheva EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.7
Crosses 9.8
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Haifa
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.38 xG 0.91
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
382 Passes 328
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.01.2024 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 HT 0-0 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa İSR
03.12.2023 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa 1-0 HT 0-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Haifa
4-1
AWAY Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.60 xG 0.34
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
430 Passes 376
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 6
15 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Haifa cruised past Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maccabi Haifa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Maccabi Haifa had 52% of the ball to Hapoel Beer Sheva's 48%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 2.60 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Maccabi Haifa and 1.00 for Hapoel Beer Sheva.

What was the final score of Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Maccabi Haifa 4-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Haifa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Haifa 44%, draw 26%, Hapoel Beer Sheva 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maccabi Haifa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maccabi Haifa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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