Maccabi Petah Tikva 4-2 Hapoel Tel Aviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 20 Apr 2024

Maccabi Petah Tikva
4-2 HT 2-0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Israel - Ligat HaAl – 2023/2024

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.94
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
28%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.64
Over 2.5
36%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.4
6+ Goals
5%
22.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 37% vs market 31.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
17%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
31%
+8.3pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.5pp
28%
Away Win
40%
-11.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
57%
+7.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
43%
-7.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.2pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maccabi Petah Tikva v Hapoel Tel Aviv — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.63/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.93
+2% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / -35%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
257 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 77%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
15.0 Crosses 15.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Petah Tikva
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.98 xG 1.30
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
371 Passes 218
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
35 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva 3-0 HT 2-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv İSR
19.12.2023 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-0 HT 1-0 Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva İSR
12.08.2023 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-2 HT 0-0 Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva İSRTK

Maccabi Petah Tikva 4-2 Hapoel Tel Aviv — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Petah Tikva
4-2
AWAY Hapoel Tel Aviv
0.51 xG 2.31
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
162 Passes 428
64% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 29
8 Crosses 34
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Petah Tikva got the better of Hapoel Tel Aviv 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; Maccabi Petah Tikva found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maccabi Petah Tikva had 32% of the ball to Hapoel Tel Aviv's 68%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.51 to 2.31 — on chances, Hapoel Tel Aviv could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Maccabi Petah Tikva had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Maccabi Petah Tikva and 0.67 for Hapoel Tel Aviv.

What was the final score of Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Maccabi Petah Tikva 4-2 Hapoel Tel Aviv in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Petah Tikva win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Petah Tikva 39%, draw 33%, Hapoel Tel Aviv 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maccabi Petah Tikva) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maccabi Petah Tikva) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSR More Israel - Ligat HaAl
20 Apr 2024
17:00 Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa Analysis →
18:00 Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Jerusalem Analysis →
18:00 Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Bnei Raina Analysis →
20:00 Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Analysis →