Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-0 Hapoel Haifa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
14%
8.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-7.1pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.6pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Haifa EU Bookmakers 17%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
2.25/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.09
+50% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -48%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
413 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
13.6 Crosses 25.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Hapoel Haifa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.69 xG 0.65
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
413 Passes 305
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 3-1 HT 2-1 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa İSR
31.12.2023 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa 0-1 HT 0-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
4-0
AWAY Hapoel Haifa
2.99 xG 0.52
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
375 Passes 280
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Tel Aviv cruised past Hapoel Haifa 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Maccabi Tel Aviv as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Maccabi Tel Aviv had 55% of the ball to Hapoel Haifa's 45%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 2.99 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Maccabi Tel Aviv had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Maccabi Tel Aviv and 0.50 for Hapoel Haifa.

What was the final score of Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa?

Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-0 Hapoel Haifa in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Tel Aviv win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Tel Aviv 59%, draw 22%, Hapoel Haifa 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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