Maccabi Netanya 1-0 Hapoel Jerusalem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.7
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.42
6+ Goals
10%
22.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Netanya EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 31%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.74/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.18
-26% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
35.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
19.3 Crosses 17.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Netanya
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Hapoel Jerusalem
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.59 xG 0.78
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
326 Passes 241
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
32 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2024 Maccabi Netanya Maccabi Netanya 2-1 HT 1-0 Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Jerusalem İSREK
16.01.2024 Maccabi Netanya Maccabi Netanya 2-1 HT 1-1 Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Jerusalem İSR
23.09.2023 Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Jerusalem 1-1 HT 0-0 Maccabi Netanya Maccabi Netanya İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Netanya
1-0
AWAY Hapoel Jerusalem
0.86 xG 0.03
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
263 Passes 394
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
7 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Jerusalem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Netanya nicked a narrow win over Hapoel Jerusalem 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Maccabi Netanya as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Maccabi Netanya had 42% of the ball to Hapoel Jerusalem's 58%, shots finished 6-2, expected goals 0.86 to 0.03.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Maccabi Netanya had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Maccabi Netanya and 1.00 for Hapoel Jerusalem.

What was the final score of Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Jerusalem?

Maccabi Netanya 1-0 Hapoel Jerusalem in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Jerusalem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Netanya win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Netanya 46%, draw 26%, Hapoel Jerusalem 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maccabi Netanya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maccabi Netanya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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