Bnei Sakhnin 0-2 Maccabi Bnei Raina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
36%
3.04
Away
27%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.56
Over 2.5
34%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
5.09
6+ Goals
6%
30.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.4 — our 37% vs market 35.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.0pp
36%
Draw
29%
+6.6pp
27%
Away Win
32%
-5.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
60%
+5.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
40%
-5.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bnei Sakhnin EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Bnei Raina EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.19/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/0.64
-39% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +98%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
200 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 71%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
20.0 Crosses 15.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bnei Sakhnin
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.87 xG 0.66
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
297 Passes 404
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2024 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin 0-0 HT 0-0 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina İSR
30.12.2023 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina 0-1 HT 0-0 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin İSR
09.08.2023 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina 1-2 HT 0-1 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin İSRTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bnei Sakhnin
0-2
AWAY Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.80 xG 0.57
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
323 Passes 213
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Bnei Raina beat Bnei Sakhnin 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 36% / 27%) promised a tight game; Maccabi Bnei Raina found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bnei Sakhnin had 59% of the ball to Maccabi Bnei Raina's 41%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.80 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bnei Sakhnin had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bnei Sakhnin and 0.33 for Maccabi Bnei Raina.

What was the final score of Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Bnei Raina?

Bnei Sakhnin 0-2 Maccabi Bnei Raina in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Bnei Raina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bnei Sakhnin win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bnei Sakhnin 37%, draw 36%, Maccabi Bnei Raina 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bnei Sakhnin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bnei Sakhnin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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