Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1-1 Botev Vratsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
41%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.95
No
43%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.3pp
34%
Draw
26%
+8.3pp
41%
Away Win
53%
-12.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+10.2pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etar Veliko Tarnovo EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 57%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-64% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
258 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Botev Vratsa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
3 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.04.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 2-0 HT 1-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo Etar Veliko Tarnovo BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1-1
AWAY Botev Vratsa
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Botev Vratsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etar Veliko Tarnovo and Botev Vratsa shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Botev Vratsa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Etar Veliko Tarnovo had 52% of the ball to Botev Vratsa's 48%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Botev Vratsa?

Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1-1 Botev Vratsa in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Botev Vratsa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botev Vratsa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Etar Veliko Tarnovo 25%, draw 34%, Botev Vratsa 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Botev Vratsa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botev Vratsa) ✓ BTTS Yes
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