OFK Pirin 0-0 Hebar 1918 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.5pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.6pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFK Pirin EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.49/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.64
+36% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
262 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFK Pirin
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Hebar 1918
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
11.03.2024 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin 1-1 HT 1-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
28.02.2024 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 2-1 HT 1-0 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin BULK
18.09.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 1-2 HT 0-0 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin BUL1
12.05.2023 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin 2-1 HT 0-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFK Pirin
0-0
AWAY Hebar 1918
44% Ball Possession 56%
1 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH OFK Pirin vs Hebar 1918
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFK Pirin and Hebar 1918 played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was OFK Pirin at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, OFK Pirin had 44% of the ball to Hebar 1918's 56%, shots finished 1-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, OFK Pirin had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for OFK Pirin and 1.25 for Hebar 1918.

What was the final score of OFK Pirin vs Hebar 1918?

OFK Pirin 0-0 Hebar 1918 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFK Pirin vs Hebar 1918?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFK Pirin win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split OFK Pirin 46%, draw 31%, Hebar 1918 22%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (OFK Pirin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OFK Pirin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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