New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New England Revolution v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals
New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
New England Revolution
ABD
3-3
HT 2-2
Chicago Fire
ABD
1-1
HT 0-0
New England Revolution
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
New England Revolution 1-3 Chicago Fire — Actual Match Statistics
Chicago Fire got the better of New England Revolution 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chicago Fire as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, New England Revolution had 37% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 63%, shots finished 9-4, expected goals 0.31 to 0.33.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New England Revolution had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for New England Revolution and 1.17 for Chicago Fire.
What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
New England Revolution 1-3 Chicago Fire in the USA - Open Cup on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 31%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chicago Fire), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.