New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities
New England Revolution v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals
New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
New England Revolution 1-3 Chicago Fire — Actual Match Statistics
Chicago Fire got the better of New England Revolution 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Chicago Fire as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%) came home.
Under the surface, Chicago Fire saw more of the ball, 63% to 37%, shots finished 9-4, expected goals 0.31 to 0.33.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New England Revolution had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for New England Revolution against 1.17 for Chicago Fire.
New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire Result & Final Score
New England Revolution 1 - 3 Chicago Fire in the USA - Open Cup on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 17%, draw 19%, Chicago Fire 64%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chicago Fire), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.