River Plate 1-1 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 21 May 2025

📅21/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.51
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.29
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.84
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.96
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
18.85
X/1
13%
3.67
X/2
7%
12.85
X/X
13%
4.42
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
12%
12.65
2/X
7%
21.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.4pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 17%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.86/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.28
+13% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
382 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 67%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
23.4 Crosses 16.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME River Plate
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Platense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.69 xG 0.66
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
497 Passes 151
82% Pass Accuracy 56%
28 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2025 Platense Platense 1-1 HT 1-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
07.10.2024 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
22.05.2023 River Plate River Plate 2-1 HT 1-1 Platense Platense ARJ
13.10.2022 River Plate River Plate 2-1 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ARJ
09.05.2022 River Plate River Plate 2-1 HT 1-1 Platense Platense ARJ
22.11.2021 Platense Platense 0-1 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
1-1
AWAY Platense
2.18 xG 0.77
73% Ball Possession 27%
21 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
498 Passes 113
86% Pass Accuracy 53%
31 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH River Plate vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate and Platense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was River Plate at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, River Plate had 73% of the ball to Platense's 27%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.18 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for River Plate and 0.67 for Platense.

What was the final score of River Plate vs Platense?

River Plate 1-1 Platense in the Argentina - Premier League on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split River Plate 49%, draw 28%, Platense 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (River Plate), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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