Platense 1-1 River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.09
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.45
Over 2.5
46%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.99
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
5.78
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
9.93
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
11%
19.25
X/1
7%
10.25
X/2
23%
3.82
X/X
12%
3.67
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.27
2/X
6%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
17%
+6.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
48%
Away Win
54%
-6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
65%
-11.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
35%
+11.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.9pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Platense EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY River Plate EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -22%
0.85/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.05
-33% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +5%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
213 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
12.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
17.9 Crosses 20.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Platense
0W-1D-5L
AWAY River Plate
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.71 xG 1.88
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
177 Passes 464
60% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2024 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
22.05.2023 River Plate River Plate 2-1 HT 1-1 Platense Platense ARJ
13.10.2022 River Plate River Plate 2-1 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ARJ
09.05.2022 River Plate River Plate 2-1 HT 1-1 Platense Platense ARJ
22.11.2021 Platense Platense 0-1 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
28.02.2021 Platense Platense 0-1 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Platense
1-1
AWAY River Plate
0.40 xG 0.81
21% Ball Possession 79%
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
85 Passes 576
46% Pass Accuracy 85%
5 Box Touches 25
8 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Platense vs River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Platense and River Plate shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was River Plate at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Platense had 21% of the ball to River Plate's 79%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 0.40 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Platense and 1.33 for River Plate.

What was the final score of Platense vs River Plate?

Platense 1-1 River Plate in the Argentina - Premier League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Platense vs River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated an River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Platense 23%, draw 29%, River Plate 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (River Plate), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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