Instituto Cordoba 3-0 Gimnasia La Plata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 26 Jan 2025

Instituto Cordoba
3-0 HT 1-0
Gimnasia La Plata
📅26/01/2025 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2025

Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia La Plata Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.51
Over 2.5
31%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.16
No
65%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
43%
2.13
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
14%
5.15
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.13 — our 43% vs market 38.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.64
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1
17%
4.21
X/2
10%
8.28
X/X
16%
3.66
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
10%
7.43
2/X
7%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.0pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.7pp
69%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.9pp
31%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.9pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.4pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Instituto Cordoba v Gimnasia La Plata — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.41/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.32
-10% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
260 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
25.2 Crosses 17.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8

Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia La Plata Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Instituto Cordoba
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.34 xG 1.02
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
232 Passes 233
65% Pass Accuracy 64%
26 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.06.2024 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 2-1 HT 1-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
01.03.2024 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-3 HT 0-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
08.10.2023 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
18.02.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-0 HT 1-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
18.08.2016 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-2 HT 0-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJK
19.03.2006 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-0 HT 1-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ

Instituto Cordoba 3-0 Gimnasia La Plata — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Instituto Cordoba
3-0
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
1.61 xG 0.59
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
166 Passes 202
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia La Plata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Instituto Cordoba ran out comfortable winners over Gimnasia La Plata 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Instituto Cordoba as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (65%) landed while under 2.5 goals (69%) missed.

On the day, Instituto Cordoba had 47% of the ball to Gimnasia La Plata's 53%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.61 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimnasia La Plata led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Instituto Cordoba and 1.50 for Gimnasia La Plata.

What was the final score of Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Instituto Cordoba 3-0 Gimnasia La Plata in the Argentina - Premier League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Instituto Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Instituto Cordoba 44%, draw 31%, Gimnasia La Plata 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Instituto Cordoba), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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