Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 21 May 2025

📅21/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
48%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
19%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.28
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.04 — our 31% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
7.95
1/2
5%
21.45
1/X
7%
15.95
X/1
8%
10.4
X/2
17%
4.33
X/X
9%
5.83
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
25%
2.08
2/X
9%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
48%
Away Win
56%
-8.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.7pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 61%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +1%
1.17/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.15
+36% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +42%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 82%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
20.1 Crosses 26.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.15 xG 2.05
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
406 Passes 247
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 HT 1-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
07.04.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-2 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
29.09.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-2 HT 0-2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
22.04.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-3 HT 2-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
05.11.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-3 HT 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
18.08.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3-2 HT 2-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
1-2
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.84 xG 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
242 Passes 224
67% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe nicked a narrow win over Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 52% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 48%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.84 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.83 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe?

Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 28%, draw 25%, Vissel Kobe 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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