Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.85
6+ Goals
13%
7.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.41
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
8%
12.25
X/1
10%
5.77
X/2
15%
5.99
X/X
13%
5.33
2/1
11%
24.85
2/2
11%
3.6
2/X
7%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.4pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +13%
1.84/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.25
+54% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
20.0 Crosses 19.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.54 xG 2.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
397 Passes 267
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.04.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-2 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
29.09.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-2 HT 0-2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
22.04.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-3 HT 2-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
05.11.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-3 HT 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
18.08.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3-2 HT 2-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos AŞMP
02.03.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 HT 1-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
1-2
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.22 xG 2.16
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
395 Passes 292
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe nicked a narrow win over Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Vissel Kobe made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 55% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 45%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 1.22 to 2.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.50 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe?

Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 40%, draw 28%, Vissel Kobe 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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