FC Tokyo 0-3 Kawasaki Frontale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
34%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
3.01
6+ Goals
14%
9.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.9
1/2
7%
22.7
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.35
X/1
12%
7.28
X/2
12%
4.72
X/X
13%
5.33
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
15%
2.68
2/X
6%
13.05
Value flag · 1/X at 13.35 — our 12% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+6.2pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.5pp
34%
Away Win
46%
-12.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 50%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -11%
1.20/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.20
+4% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
17.0 Crosses 15.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tokyo
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.23 xG 1.23
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
349 Passes 350
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2024 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
15.09.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
12.05.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-1 HT 2-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
05.11.2022 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-3 HT 0-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
18.02.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
02.10.2021 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tokyo
0-3
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
1.92 xG 1.31
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
332 Passes 492
88% Pass Accuracy 89%
26 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Tokyo vs Kawasaki Frontale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale swept aside FC Tokyo 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Kawasaki Frontale made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Tokyo had 41% of the ball to Kawasaki Frontale's 59%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.92 to 1.31 — the balance of chances actually favoured FC Tokyo.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Tokyo and 1.67 for Kawasaki Frontale.

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Kawasaki Frontale?

FC Tokyo 0-3 Kawasaki Frontale in the Japan - J1 League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tokyo win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 35%, draw 31%, Kawasaki Frontale 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Tokyo), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Tokyo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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