Kashiwa Reysol 0-0 Gamba Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 11 Aug 2024

Kashiwa Reysol
0-0 HT 0-0
Gamba Osaka
📅11/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Kashiwa Reysol vs Gamba Osaka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.22
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.65
6+ Goals
9%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 33% vs market 25.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.89
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
12%
13.25
X/1
11%
4.62
X/2
12%
6.86
X/X
12%
4.56
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
13%
5.03
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kashiwa Reysol v Gamba Osaka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.33/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.32
-11% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 82%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
19.1 Crosses 14.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5

Kashiwa Reysol vs Gamba Osaka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Gamba Osaka
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.47 xG 0.91
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
358 Passes 401
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.06.2024 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 2-1 HT 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
16.07.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 3-1 HT 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
18.02.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 2-2 HT 1-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
01.10.2022 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0-0 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
14.05.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
26.09.2021 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 2-1 HT 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP

Kashiwa Reysol 0-0 Gamba Osaka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
0-0
AWAY Gamba Osaka
0.93 xG 0.54
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
301 Passes 361
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs Gamba Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol and Gamba Osaka played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 48% of the ball to Gamba Osaka's 52%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.93 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gamba Osaka led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.67 for Gamba Osaka.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Gamba Osaka?

Kashiwa Reysol 0-0 Gamba Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Gamba Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 36%, draw 31%, Gamba Osaka 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
11 Aug 2024
12:00 Machida Zelvia vs Shonan Bellmare Analysis →
12:30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka Analysis →
13:00 Jubilo Iwata vs Kashima Antlers Analysis →
13:00 FC Tokyo vs Kawasaki Frontale Analysis →
13:00 Sagan Tosu vs Urawa Red Diamonds Analysis →
13:00 Nagoya Grampus vs Tokyo Verdy Analysis →