Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Tokyo Verdy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.88
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.7
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
15%
5.08
X/2
9%
5.74
X/X
14%
3.73
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
18%
4.39
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.3pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.20/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.20
-15% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
15.1 Crosses 14.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 1.40
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 7
400 Passes 245
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 3
22.06.2024 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 1-0 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
1-0
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
0.94 xG 0.61
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
228 Passes 367
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nagoya Grampus vs Tokyo Verdy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus squeezed past Tokyo Verdy 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Nagoya Grampus made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 40% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 60%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.94 to 0.61.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Tokyo Verdy?

Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - J1 League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Tokyo Verdy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 39%, draw 27%, Tokyo Verdy 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nagoya Grampus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
11 Aug 2024
12:00 Machida Zelvia vs Shonan Bellmare Analysis →
12:30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka Analysis →
13:00 Jubilo Iwata vs Kashima Antlers Analysis →
13:00 FC Tokyo vs Kawasaki Frontale Analysis →
13:00 Sagan Tosu vs Urawa Red Diamonds Analysis →
13:00 Kashiwa Reysol vs Gamba Osaka Analysis →