Kifisia 3-2 AE Larissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 21 May 2026

📅21/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.96
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.52
6+ Goals
7%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 30% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kifisia EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY AE Larissa EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.57/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.46
-28% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
21.8 Crosses 17.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kifisia
0W-3D-0L
AWAY AE Larissa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.63 xG 1.03
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
321 Passes 296
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
22.04.2026 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-1 HT 0-1 Kifisia Kifisia YUN
10.01.2026 Kifisia Kifisia 1-1 HT 0-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
30.08.2025 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-1 HT 0-0 Kifisia Kifisia YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kifisia
3-2
AWAY AE Larissa
1.83 xG 1.97
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
458 Passes 337
90% Pass Accuracy 87%
34 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kifisia vs AE Larissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kifisia edged past AE Larissa 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kifisia as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kifisia had 57% of the ball to AE Larissa's 43%, shots finished 21-16, expected goals 1.83 to 1.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kifisia and 1.00 for AE Larissa.

What was the final score of Kifisia vs AE Larissa?

Kifisia 3-2 AE Larissa in the Greece - Super League on 21/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kifisia vs AE Larissa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kifisia win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kifisia 51%, draw 27%, AE Larissa 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kifisia) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kifisia) ✗ Under 2.5
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