Panaitolikos 1-2 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 21 May 2026

📅21/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 32% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.33/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.28
+9% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
20.6 Crosses 16.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panaitolikos
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.25 xG 0.97
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
328 Passes 317
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.04.2026 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-1 HT 1-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
14.02.2026 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 3-1 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
22.11.2025 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-1 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
13.01.2025 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
21.09.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-1 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
20.04.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panaitolikos
1-2
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
2.12 xG 1.93
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
323 Passes 176
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Panaitolikos vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis nicked a narrow win over Panaitolikos 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Panaitolikos at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Panaitolikos had 62% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 38%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 2.12 to 1.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Panaitolikos and 1.17 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of Panaitolikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Panaitolikos 1-2 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 21/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panaitolikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panaitolikos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Panaitolikos 41%, draw 25%, Asteras Tripolis 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Panaitolikos), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panaitolikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
21 May 2026
18:00 Atromitos vs Panserraikos Analysis →
19:00 Kifisia vs AE Larissa Analysis →