Melbourne Knights 6-0 Moreland City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Jun 2024

📅21/06/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.38
Over 2.5
44%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.66
No
58%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
28%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-11.0pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.1pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
38%
+18.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
62%
-18.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
56%
-14.5pp
58%
BTTS No
44%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreland City EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.38/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/2.29
+7% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Knights
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Moreland City
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Moreland City Moreland City 0-1 HT 0-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
16.07.2023 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 2-1 HT 1-0 Moreland City Moreland City AVNPL
15.04.2023 Moreland City Moreland City 1-4 HT 1-1 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Melbourne Knights vs Moreland City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Knights ran out comfortable winners over Moreland City 6-0. Half-time: 5-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Melbourne Knights as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Melbourne Knights had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Melbourne Knights and 0.67 for Moreland City.

What was the final score of Melbourne Knights vs Moreland City?

Melbourne Knights 6-0 Moreland City in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Knights vs Moreland City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Knights 52%, draw 25%, Moreland City 23%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Knights), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Knights) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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