Hebei Kungfu 3-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.66
2-3 Goals
35%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.05
6+ Goals
9%
19.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 37% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebei Kungfu EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 49%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.09/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.40
+8% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -18%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
247 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
18.7 Crosses 20.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebei Kungfu
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.85 xG 0.87
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
289 Passes 295
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.10.2024 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 1-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
02.06.2024 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-1 HT 1-0 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
31.05.2023 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 3-0 HT 2-0 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebei Kungfu
3-1
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
1.41 xG 0.33
25% Ball Possession 75%
7 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
86 Passes 382
58% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hebei Kungfu vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hebei Kungfu beat Chongqing Tongliang Long 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 30% / 40% — and on the day Hebei Kungfu made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hebei Kungfu had 25% of the ball to Chongqing Tongliang Long's 75%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 1.41 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chongqing Tongliang Long led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hebei Kungfu and 1.67 for Chongqing Tongliang Long.

What was the final score of Hebei Kungfu vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Hebei Kungfu 3-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebei Kungfu vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hebei Kungfu 29%, draw 30%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 40%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
21 Jun 2025
14:30 Nantong Zhiyun vs Liaoning Shenyang Analysis →