Hebei Kungfu 1-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
44%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
5.18
6+ Goals
9%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
44%
Away Win
48%
-4.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.4pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebei Kungfu EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 52%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -64% / -64%
0.47/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/0.54
-40% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
11.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
16.0 Crosses 21.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebei Kungfu
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.85 xG 0.87
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
289 Passes 295
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.06.2024 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-1 HT 1-0 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
31.05.2023 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 3-0 HT 2-0 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİNK
POST-MATCH Hebei Kungfu vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hebei Kungfu squeezed past Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Chongqing Tongliang Long at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chongqing Tongliang Long led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hebei Kungfu and 2.50 for Chongqing Tongliang Long.

What was the final score of Hebei Kungfu vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Hebei Kungfu 1-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebei Kungfu vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hebei Kungfu 28%, draw 28%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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