Incheon United 2-0 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 21 Jun 2025

Incheon United
2-0 HT 1-0
Hwaseong
📅21/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2025

Incheon United vs Hwaseong Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.54
6+ Goals
8%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 29% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-11.6pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.5pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Incheon United v Hwaseong — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 16%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
2.16/0.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/3.00
+26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -43%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.7 Crosses 15.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0

Incheon United vs Hwaseong Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hwaseong
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
505 Passes 230
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.04.2025 Hwaseong Hwaseong 0-1 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR2

Incheon United 2-0 Hwaseong — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
2-0
AWAY Hwaseong
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 1
388 Passes 322
89% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United beat Hwaseong 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Incheon United as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Incheon United had 54% of the ball to Hwaseong's 46%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Hwaseong?

Incheon United 2-0 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 54%, draw 25%, Hwaseong 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Incheon United), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Incheon United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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