Seongnam 0-2 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.74
6+ Goals
9%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 31% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+6.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-7.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seongnam EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 45%
-13% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / +5%
0.97/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.15
-19% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
23.3 Crosses 19.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seongnam
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
364 Passes 347
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2025 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 HT 0-1 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
20.10.2024 Seongnam Seongnam 2-3 HT 1-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
25.06.2024 Seongnam Seongnam 0-4 HT 0-2 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
06.04.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
07.10.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 2-0 HT 2-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
03.06.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-0 HT 1-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seongnam
0-2
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
71% Ball Possession 29%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 6
480 Passes 164
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Seongnam vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa saw off Seongnam 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Asan Mugunghwa found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Seongnam had 71% of the ball to Asan Mugunghwa's 29%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asan Mugunghwa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Seongnam and 1.83 for Asan Mugunghwa.

What was the final score of Seongnam vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Seongnam 0-2 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seongnam vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seongnam win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Seongnam 39%, draw 27%, Asan Mugunghwa 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Seongnam) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Seongnam) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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