Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 Seongnam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.65
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
19.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Seongnam EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.61/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.57
+16% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
356 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 69%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.9 Crosses 17.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Seongnam
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 Passes 435
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2024 Seongnam Seongnam 2-3 HT 1-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
25.06.2024 Seongnam Seongnam 0-4 HT 0-2 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
06.04.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
07.10.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 2-0 HT 2-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
03.06.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-0 HT 1-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
12.03.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 0-0 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1-1
AWAY Seongnam
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
366 Passes 292
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Seongnam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa and Seongnam shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Asan Mugunghwa at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 56% of the ball to Seongnam's 44%, shots finished 17-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asan Mugunghwa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 0.83 for Seongnam.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Seongnam?

Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 Seongnam in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Seongnam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 42%, draw 30%, Seongnam 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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