Vard Haugesund 2-4 Arendal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.2pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vard Haugesund EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Arendal EU Bookmakers 45%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.71/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.51
+3% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
301 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vard Haugesund
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Arendal
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
05.10.2024 Arendal Arendal 3-1 HT 2-1 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
06.04.2024 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 0-1 HT 0-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
07.10.2023 Arendal Arendal 2-0 HT 0-0 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
20.05.2023 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 3-0 HT 1-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
08.10.2022 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 0-2 HT 0-2 Arendal Arendal NOR3
04.06.2022 Arendal Arendal 3-1 HT 1-0 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
POST-MATCH Vard Haugesund vs Arendal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arendal beat Vard Haugesund 4-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Arendal made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arendal led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vard Haugesund and 1.83 for Arendal.

What was the final score of Vard Haugesund vs Arendal?

Vard Haugesund 2-4 Arendal in the Norway - 2nd Division on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vard Haugesund vs Arendal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arendal win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vard Haugesund 37%, draw 25%, Arendal 39%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arendal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arendal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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