Alianza Universidad 1-2 UTC Cajamarca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 21 Jun 2025

Alianza Universidad
1-2 HT 0-2
UTC Cajamarca
📅21/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Peru - Premier League – 2025

Alianza Universidad vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alianza Universidad v UTC Cajamarca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Universidad EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 21%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.35/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.47
-58% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 70%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
15.0 Crosses 16.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Alianza Universidad vs UTC Cajamarca Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Universidad
1W-1D-3L
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.74 xG 1.10
64% Ball Possession 36%
5 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
400 Passes 177
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
8 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.08.2021 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad PER
17.05.2021 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad 1-2 HT 0-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
13.11.2020 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-2 HT 0-0 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad PER
01.10.2020 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad 0-0 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
11.03.2019 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad PER

Alianza Universidad 1-2 UTC Cajamarca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Universidad
1-2
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
2.27 xG 0.74
74% Ball Possession 26%
27 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 2
374 Passes 103
89% Pass Accuracy 65%
34 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alianza Universidad vs UTC Cajamarca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTC Cajamarca edged past Alianza Universidad 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Alianza Universidad carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Alianza Universidad had 74% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 26%, shots finished 27-6, expected goals 2.27 to 0.74 — on chances, Alianza Universidad could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, UTC Cajamarca led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Alianza Universidad and 1.20 for UTC Cajamarca.

What was the final score of Alianza Universidad vs UTC Cajamarca?

Alianza Universidad 1-2 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Universidad vs UTC Cajamarca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Universidad win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Alianza Universidad 55%, draw 24%, UTC Cajamarca 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Alianza Universidad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Universidad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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