Cultural San 3-1 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural San EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 48%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -14%
0.86/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.20
-18% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
11.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
22.3 Crosses 20.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural San
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sporting Cristal
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
1.48 xG 2.38
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
310 Passes 260
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.07.2024 Cultural San Cultural San 3-3 HT 1-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
16.02.2024 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-1 HT 3-0 Cultural San Cultural San PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural San
3-1
AWAY Sporting Cristal
0.98 xG 2.21
35% Ball Possession 65%
14 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
163 Passes 385
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cultural San vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural San saw off Sporting Cristal 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Cristal at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Cultural San had 35% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 65%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 0.98 to 2.21 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sporting Cristal.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cultural San and 3.50 for Sporting Cristal.

What was the final score of Cultural San vs Sporting Cristal?

Cultural San 3-1 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural San vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cultural San 30%, draw 26%, Sporting Cristal 44%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Cristal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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