Sport Huancayo 2-2 Melgar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Huancayo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Melgar EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.39/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.31
-2% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
309 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 69%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
23.4 Crosses 16.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Huancayo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Melgar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.18 xG 1.49
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
311 Passes 305
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 2-4 HT 1-2 Melgar Melgar PER
19.05.2024 Melgar Melgar 4-1 HT 2-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
27.08.2023 Melgar Melgar 1-3 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
09.04.2023 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-1 HT 1-0 Melgar Melgar PER
24.07.2022 Melgar Melgar 1-0 HT 1-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
20.02.2022 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 3-0 HT 1-0 Melgar Melgar PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Huancayo
2-2
AWAY Melgar
1.76 xG 0.91
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 8
281 Passes 347
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 19
27 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sport Huancayo vs Melgar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Huancayo and Melgar couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sport Huancayo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sport Huancayo had 46% of the ball to Melgar's 54%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.76 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sport Huancayo and 1.83 for Melgar.

What was the final score of Sport Huancayo vs Melgar?

Sport Huancayo 2-2 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Huancayo vs Melgar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Huancayo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sport Huancayo 44%, draw 25%, Melgar 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sport Huancayo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sport Huancayo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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