Sport Huancayo 2-4 Melgar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
47%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+7.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-8.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Huancayo EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Melgar EU Bookmakers 59%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.27/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.70
-24% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +15%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 81%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
17.0 Crosses 20.7
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Huancayo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Melgar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.16 xG 1.71
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
310 Passes 295
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Melgar Melgar 4-1 HT 2-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
27.08.2023 Melgar Melgar 1-3 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
09.04.2023 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-1 HT 1-0 Melgar Melgar PER
24.07.2022 Melgar Melgar 1-0 HT 1-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
20.02.2022 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 3-0 HT 1-0 Melgar Melgar PER
18.07.2021 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 0-3 HT 0-2 Melgar Melgar PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Huancayo
2-4
AWAY Melgar
1.20 xG 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
345 Passes 278
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH Sport Huancayo vs Melgar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melgar beat Sport Huancayo 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Melgar as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sport Huancayo had 54% of the ball to Melgar's 46%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.20 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sport Huancayo and 1.67 for Melgar.

What was the final score of Sport Huancayo vs Melgar?

Sport Huancayo 2-4 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Huancayo vs Melgar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sport Huancayo 29%, draw 24%, Melgar 47%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melgar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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