Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Lima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Garcilaso v Alianza Lima — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Lima Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Alianza Lima
PER
3-2
HT 2-0
Deportivo Garcilaso
PER
Deportivo Garcilaso 1-2 Alianza Lima — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Garcilaso 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportivo Garcilaso had 41% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 59%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.76 to 0.99.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Garcilaso and 2.33 for Alianza Lima.
What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Lima?
Deportivo Garcilaso 1-2 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Lima?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 22%, draw 29%, Alianza Lima 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.