Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Lima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Deportivo Garcilaso v Alianza Lima — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Lima Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Deportivo Garcilaso 1-2 Alianza Lima — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Garcilaso 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (60%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: Deportivo Garcilaso had 41% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 59%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.76 to 0.99.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Garcilaso and 2.33 for Alianza Lima.
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Lima Result & Final Score
Deportivo Garcilaso 1 - 2 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Lima Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 20%, draw 29%, Alianza Lima 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.