Union Comercio 0-12 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
12.23
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
63%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.98
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
2.03
No
38%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
24%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
5%
+11.2pp
21%
Draw
10%
+10.6pp
63%
Away Win
84%
-22.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
45%
+17.0pp
38%
BTTS No
55%
-17.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Comercio EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 90%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.91/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/1.12
+51% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -58%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
241 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 84%
11.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
14.3 Crosses 20.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Comercio
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Sporting Cristal
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.05 xG 2.04
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
271 Passes 319
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2024 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 5-1 HT 4-1 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
02.07.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 3-0 HT 2-0 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
13.05.2023 Union Comercio Union Comercio 1-6 HT 1-2 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
04.07.2021 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 2-0 HT 0-0 Union Comercio Union Comercio PERKB
25.08.2019 Union Comercio Union Comercio 2-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
09.03.2019 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 1-0 HT 1-0 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Comercio
0-12
AWAY Sporting Cristal
0.15 xG 5.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
1 Total Shots 20
0 Shots on Target 15
3 Corners 2
169 Passes 211
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
4 Box Touches 35
9 Crosses 11
POST-MATCH Union Comercio vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal swept aside Union Comercio 12-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-7. 12 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 12-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, Union Comercio had 48% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 52%, shots finished 1-20, expected goals 0.15 to 5.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Union Comercio and 3.00 for Sporting Cristal.

What was the final score of Union Comercio vs Sporting Cristal?

Union Comercio 0-12 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Comercio vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Union Comercio 16%, draw 21%, Sporting Cristal 63%. The final score 0-12 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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